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Joined 1 year ago
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Cake day: October 29th, 2023

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  • If the recent profitability is expected to be sustainable, I would argue a multiple based on 1 year sales would be best. Question is what multiple.

    Often for a company that is growing (or has just flipped from loss to profit), the multiple is based on the next 3-5 years EBITDA not the last 3 years EBITDA.

    The reason is that any price calculation is ultimately a way of calculating a lump sum in exchange for future cash flows.

    This is why even unprofitable companies (with expectations of future profit) have a value greater than zero.

    Then the question of what multiple is appropriate depends on all the usual things like competition, expected growth, etc.


  • Not sure what’s up with the answers you have received so far.

    The correct answer is most likely the difference between cash flow and profit.

    If you run a business that has inventory, it is possible to have a profit, but negative cash flow.

    This occurs when you inventory levels at the end of the period are higher than at the beginning of the period - in which case the profit has been spent on higher inventory levels.